Service Plays Tuesday 5/18/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic (-7.5, 188)

You live by the sword, you die by the sword. That same saying is true when it comes to teams dependent on the 3-pointer.

When you’re on, you can bury an opponent. But when you’re off, you get a performance like the Orlando Magic’s 92-88 loss to the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference finals Sunday. The Magic, who finished third in 3-point percentage and led the NBA in 3-point attempts, went just 5-for-22 from beyond the arc (22.7 percent) in Game 1.

Sharp-shooting forward Rashard Lewis was 0-for-6 from outside while point guard Jameer Nelson hit only two of his seven shots from 3-point range. Other perimeter threats Mickael Pietrus and J.J. Redick combined to hit 2-for-6 from downtown.

That poor shooting performance could have something to do with Orlando’s extended layoff after sweeping the Atlanta Hawks in the Eastern Conference semifinals. The Magic had six days between series, leaving their outside touch a bit rusty for Sunday’s game.

“You don’t want to make excuses,” Redick told reporters. “When you don’t do it for a few days, you forget how much you have to put into it, and we didn’t put enough into this game.”

Orlando has attempted 254 3-pointers this postseason, knocking down 37 percent of them. With a bad shooting night behind them, basketball bettors can expect the Magic to come out firing in Game 2 and even this series at 1-1.

Pick: Orlando

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks (-140, 5.5)

The Sharks thought they were done with all this talk about a postseason curse. San Jose rolled over the defending Campbell Trophy winners, the Detroit Red Wings, in the conference semifinals and appeared to have shaken any hex holding them back in the playoffs.

But, after a 2-1 loss to the Chicago Blackhawks in Game 1 of the Western Conference final Sunday, the curse chatter is starting again. The Sharks did everything in their power to win Game 1, firing 45 shots on goal but coming up with just one power-play goal.

“There’s a lot of emphasis on Game 2 now,” center Joe Pavelski told reporters. “We have to win. On home ice you want to win at least one, definitely. We’re on our heels a little bit and we have to respond.”

San Jose’s powerful offense has sputtered in the past three games. It managed just one goal in a 7-1 loss to Detroit in Game 4 of that second-round series. Then, it netted just two goals to eliminate the Red Wings with a 2-1 victory in Game 5. Add those efforts to Sunday’s close loss and the Sharks have managed just four goals on their last 106 shots.

With Chicago boasting one of the most underrated bluelines in hockey, scoring chances are going to be hard to come by. And with both goaltenders playing well, Game 2 could finish much like the series opener.

Pick: Under


Montreal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers (-155, 5)

The Canadiens’ faith in their goaltending will not be shook. Not even after suffering a 6-0 thumping at the hands of the Philadelphia Flyers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference final Sunday.

"No concern about that whatsoever," Michael Cammalleri told the Montreal Gazette. "Jaro's had games where pucks have gone in on him before and he's come back and played spectacular.

"Carey's also someone we have tons of confidence in. I don't think he's let in a goal in practice in two weeks. We love our goaltending."

But while Cammalleri isn’t stressing over the poise between the posts, he should be concerned about the Habs’ play on the other end of the ice. Montreal, which ranked 25th in the NHL in scoring, is not a good offensive club. If it wasn’t for Cammalleri and Brian Gionta catching fire in the playoffs, the Canadiens wouldn’t have made it out of the first round.

Montreal’s luck could be running out. The Habs actually outshot the Flyers 28-25 Sunday but managed just five shots on goal in the third period. Cammalleri registered only one shot for the game, failing to pick up a point for the first time in the last four games.

After tapping into a miraculous offense in the first two series, the well is running dry for the Canadiens in the conference final.

Pick: Philadelphia

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles (-110, 7.5)

Sometimes a change of scenery, or manager, is all a team needs to get going.

Now don’t expect the Royals win the AL Central, but the boys in blue did take two out of three games from the White Sox under new manager Ned Yost.

Having been labeled as a great mentor to younger players, there were concerns about Yost being able to handle the veterans on the team. But it doesn’t sound like there’s a lack of connection or respect after three games.

"I know there are a lot of people panicking, but hopefully our new boss we have here can put this team together and play as a team and do the little stuff we need to do to win as a team,” said Jose Guillen.

The 34-year-old Guillen is one mercurial player that Yost must keep happy in order to maintain chemistry in the clubhouse. The Royals are 10-4 in games where Guillen has an RBI and 4-20 when he doesn’t. He has posted 15 RBIs in his last 14 outings versus Baltimore.

You’re not going to find a better price to back the reigning AL Cy Young winner, Zack Greinke, when facing a porous team like the Orioles.

Pick: Royals


Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds (-130, 9.5)

Dusty Baker has spat in the face of sabermetricians, holding firm to his belief that on-base percentage isn’t an underlying stat in baseball success unless those runners can score.

Whatever method Baker believes in is working. Through a quarter of the season, the manager has his Reds in first place in the NL Central.

Heading into Monday’s affair with Milwaukee, Cincinnati had outscored opponents 49-15 over an eight-game stretch, winning seven of those contests, and the club is hitting .314 during a 10-game span.

The Reds’ pitching has also been lights out during the team’s recent success. Reds pitchers as a whole have posted a 1.88 ERA over the last eight games.

The third component to success on the diamond, outside of hitting and pitching, is defense and Cincy hasn’t committed an error in 11 straight games.

The Reds are riding the momentum of a three-game sweep over the Cardinals while the Brewers have dropped six straight. Look for these teams to keep trending in opposite directions.

Pick: Reds

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NY PLAYERS CLUB

4* San Jose Sharks -140
2* Atlanta Braves +1.5 -165
1* Montreal +1.5 -240

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA NEWS AND NOTES
GAME OF THE DAY
Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic

The Orlando Magic look to recover from Sunday’s 92-88 home loss suffered against Boston when they host the Celtics in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference championship showdown.

Shaking off the rust

The rest vs. rust argument was never more prevalent than in Sunday’s Game 1 showdown when Orlando suffered its first loss since April 4.

The Magic entered Sunday’s contest riding a 14-game win streak (13-1 ATS) before falling to the Celtics after having last played at Atlanta on Monday.

“It’s tough any time you have to sit around,’’ Ray Allen told the Boston Globe. “Especially at this time of year when you know you have a pretty good formula for how you have been playing basketball and everybody has a great rhythm.’’

Orlando dipped to 6-13 ATS (against the spread) in its series against Boston when playing on two or more days of rest.

Ironically, the Magic are 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS at home against the Celtics when playing on exactly one day of rest.

All-Star center Dwight Howard looked particularly rusty, going 3-for-10 from the field and 7-for-12 for the free throw line. Howard shot less than 50 percent this season against only three teams: Miami, Denver and Boston.

"I played like a robot. They want me to wrestle and fight with them," Howard told reporters after the game. "That takes me off my game. So I just have to not wrestle with them. Just play."

Luckily for Orlando, he doesn't have long for reprogramming.

Turning up the heat

The Celtics’ stifling defense proved too much for the Magic to handle in Game 1. It’s the same one that destroyed Cleveland in the semifinal round.

After allowing more than 100 points in eight of its final nine games of the season, Boston has held six of its nine playoff foes under the century mark.

The Celtic built a 16-point lead through three quarters before Orlando's rally came up just short at the end. Boston’s only points in the final five-and-a-half minutes of the game came at the foul line.

Hampered by injuries most of the season, the Celtics limped their way to the playoffs.

All that seems a distant memory now.

"I honestly say we lost ourselves," Celtics coach Doc Rivers said. "I think we've found ourselves again."

Bye bye Amway

Orlando might be playing its last game ever in the Amway Center tonight.

The Magic will be moving into a new arena next season. A potential Game 5 would be played back in Orlando on Wednesday, May 27.

If the Magic loses Game 2 of the Eastern Conference final against Boston, they face the prospect of a sweep when they play Games 3 and 4 in Boston.

To avoid doing so they will need to get their 3-point shooting back on track. Orlando hit just five treys Sunday, despite averaging 10.2 three-pointers per game this season. They missed all nine in the first half, and Rashard Lewis and Vince Carter combined to miss all seven of their 3-point attempts.

"Boston just did a great job of challenging our shot. They were few and far between," said Carter. "They were stingy. And we didn't do a very good job against their defense."

The Magic will need to adopt Amway’s new ‘Think Positive’ slogan or it could be lights out at the Amway Center.

Playoff pointers

- Orlando beat the Celtics in Game 7 in the second round of the playoffs (in Boston) last year.

- Boston is 4-14 SU and ATS off an upset win in the playoffs against Eastern Conference foes.

- The Magic are 1-8 ATS as a playoff favorite off a straight up loss as a favorite.

- Home teams in Game 2 of the 3rd Round off a Game 1 home loss are 4-8-1 under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL NEWS AND NOTES
NHL Western Conference Finals
Betting Preview

With no disrespect to Detroit, this is the matchup most hockey fans wanted to see and large factions believe the winner will go on to win the Stanley Cup the way the Eastern Conference has played out. Chicago’s loss to Detroit on the last day of the regular season gave San Jose the top seed by a single point and home ice advantage in this series.
These teams have many similarities, including Sportsbook.com having both of them as +160 wagers favorites to bring the Cup home to their city when the postseason concludes.

Chicago has 60 wins this season and San Jose has 59. Both have 32 wins this year on home ice and each has played well on the road with the Blackhawks having one more triumph than the Sharks at 28.

Both bring ample offensive firepower that will test the others defense and goaltending. San Jose’s “Big Three” of Joe Thornton, Dany Heatley and Patrick Marleau awoke after disappointing series against Colorado and overwhelmed the Red Wings with eight goals and 12 assists. This was especially important for Thornton (eight points) whose playoff appearances mostly have had a David Copperfield feel of disappearing.

The most consistent scorer for the Sharks has been Joe Pavelski, who followed up five goals against the Avalanche with four more against Detroit. Pavelski has carried the power play with five in the net and have three game winners. San Jose is 35-15 against teams that have winning records.

Chicago has a myriad of scorers as evidenced by 11 players having 10 or more goals during the regular season. In fact, nine different forwards tallied a goal in Vancouver series. Prominent names like Jonathan Toews (4 goals), Patrick Kane (3) and Kris Versteeg (3) all help carry the scoring load and massive Dustin Byfuglien (4) was like a tank in front of Canucks goal in last series, proving the Blackhawks are at their best when being able to keep the opposing goalie and defense busy in front of their own net.

The Hawks defensemen are more offensive-oriented, swiftly taking the puck into the other end to exploit weaknesses, however are vulnerable occasionally being caught up ice. San Jose has a better blend of two-way defenders and guys that shutdown opposing teams at the blue line.

Both net minders have been solid between the pipes. The Sharks Evgeni Nabokov has been sharper in net this playoff campaign and is among the reason why his team returns to West Finals for the first time since 2004. “We're going to go as far as Nabby takes us. He's been the backbone of this team all year long," Thornton said after the clincher against Detroit.

Chicago’s defensive lapses are why goaltender Antti Niemi has allowed four or more goals six times in the playoffs. When given normal protection by his defenders, he’s risen to the moment. Chicago is 23-9 against good passing teams averaging five or more assists per game this season.

The Blackhawks have been stronger in special teams play converting 25 percent against Vancouver and they have kept opponents out of the net 88.7 percent of the time and cashed in with three shorthanded goals as well.

San Jose has been average in both situations by comparison (19.3 percent with man advantage and 84.2 percent in penalty kills). If the Sharks expect to win this series, they have to be better on the road, where they are below average in each instance.

The Blackhawks won three of four meetings this season.

“Simply put, we didn’t play very well against Chicago and we’ll have to play a lot better to win,” San Jose coach Todd McLellan said. “We need quicker starts against Chicago. We always seem to be behind the eight ball. For us to get into a track meet with this team won’t be very productive for us throughout the series.”

San Jose can advance to Cup Finals for the first time in franchise history if they stay disciplined and maintain edge in special opportunities (+19 in power play chances) and find ways to break thru against Blackhawks’ penalty killers. They cannot lose a home game as Chicago has worn down opponents as the series went further along.

Chicago is the deeper team, with more varied scoring options. The Hawks can’t take as many silly penalties, especially with how deadly Joe Pavelski has been. The Blackhawks outshot the Sharks 157-98 this season, which shows what kind of pressure they can maintain. If they can continue this, they play for the Stanley Cup for the first time since 1992.


PICK: Chicago Blackhawks In Six Over San Jose Sharks -115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Tuesday's MLB Tip Sheet

Before breaking down a couple of division-rivalry games for Tuesday night, let’s get you caught up on the MLB scene. Tampa Bay owns the best record in baseball with a 27-11 ledger after Monday’s series-opening win over Cleveland in 11 innings.

The Rays have a two-game advantage over the American League East’s second-place squad, the Yankees, who won a stirring thriller in the Bronx last night with a four-run rally in the bottom of the ninth. The Yanks had let a 6-1 lead get away and trailed 9-7 going into the final frame. But Marcus Thames went deep a few batters after Alex Rodriguez had done the same.

Washington is the biggest surprise in baseball and the biggest money maker as well. The Nats, who are only going to get better when phenom Stephen Strasburg gets called up in June, have brought home their backers more than 10 units of profit.

Toronto (23-17, +950) had the second-best money tally in baseball going into Monday's action, but a loss to the Twins coupled with the Rays' win lifted their money total ahead of that of the Blue Jays'. San Diego and Detroit round out the rest of the top five MLB clubs in money.

On the flip side, the Cubs have cost their backers the most money. While going 16-22, they have lost more than 14 units. The rest of the bottom five in money looks like this: Seattle (-1015), Baltimore (-975), White Sox (-943) and Milwaukee (-879).

Cincinnati took over first place from St. Louis over the weekend and remained atop of the NL Central standings thanks to Monday's 6-3 win over Milwaukee. The Cards are just one-half game behind the Reds. To Tuesday’s card…

**Mets at Braves**

--Johan Santana (3-2, 3.88) worked seven scoreless innings in his last outing, but it wasn’t enough as the Marlins began a four-game sweep of the Mets with a 2-1 win Thursday night in South Florida.

--New York (19-20, -206) took a five-game losing streak into Monday’s series opener at Atlanta. However, the Mets climbed out of the NL East cellar with last night's 3-2 win over the Braves. Neverthless, they are still just 5-12 on the road for the season. They trail the division-leading Phillies by six games

--Atlanta (18-20, -514) has won 10 of 16 games since losing nine in a row in late April. The Braves swept the Brewers at Milwaukee last week and then took two of three from Arizona over the weekend at Turner Field. They won the rubber game against the Diamondbacks by capturing a 13-1 victory behind eight strong innings from veteran right-hander Tim Hudson. Martin Prado belted a pair of homers while going 4-for-6 to lift his batting average to .323. Troy Glaus remained hot, too, going 3-for-5 with a pair of RBIs and his fifth homer of the season. Glaus, who struggled to stay above .200 in April, is now hitting .283.

--Bobby Cox will turn to Kris Medlen in this spot. Medlen is 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA this year. Those numbers have come during one start and 13 appearances from out of the bullpen. This will be the sixth start of Medlen’s career that has mostly been spent coming out of the ‘pen.

--The ‘over’ had hit in six straight games for the Braves before last night's 'under.' For the season, they have watched the ‘under’ go 18-16 overall, 9-7 in their home outings.

--The ‘over’ is 19-17 overall for the Mets, 8-7 in their road assignments.

--The Braves are 4-7 against left-handed starters like Santana. They are 10-6 at home in front of the Turner Field fans.

**Red Sox at Yankees**

--New York (25-13, +760) took two out of three games from Minnesota at home over the weekend. The Yankees’ seven-game homestand will continue through Thursday with a pair of quick two-game sets against Boston and Tampa Bay. Joe Girardi’s club was unable to sweep the Twins on Sunday when Mariano Rivera gave up a game-winning grand slam to Jason Kubel with two outs in the top of the eighth inning. Rivera had not surrendered a grand slam since 2002.

--Boston (19-20, -821) lost two of three at Detroit over the weekend and will now play a pair of games in the Bronx before returning to Fenway Park. The Red Sox had a 7-8 road record going into Monday’s series opener.

--Josh Beckett (1-1, 7.46) will be looking to make amends for two brutal outings against the Yankees this season. The Bronx Bombers have beaten Beckett up badly with 14 earned runs in 10 innings. For his career, Beckett is 9-6 with a 5.96 lifetime ERA against the Yankees.

--Regardless of the opponent, Beckett has been getting knocked around pretty good lately. His ERA is 11.15 in his last three outings, the most recent of which saw Beckett reached for nine earned runs.

--C.C. Sabathia (4-2, 3.71) will toe the rubber for New York and like Beckett, will be in bounce-back mode. The workhorse lefty got roughed up in his last outing, giving up all six earned runs in a 6-0 loss to Detroit. Sabathia owns a 5-5 record and 3.74 career ERA against Boston.

--Mark Teixeira has never homered against Beckett and has just four singles in 26 at-bats for a .154 average versus the hard-throwing Texas native. Derek Jeter hits .298 off Beckett, while Alex Rodriguez is .286 with only a pair of homers in 49 at-bats vs. Beckett.

--The ‘over’ is 20-17 overall for the Red Sox, but the ‘under’ is 7-6 in their road contests.

--Totals have been a 20-20 overall was for the Yankees, 8-8 in their home games.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--With its four-game sweep of the Mets over the weekend, Florida pulled into a second-place tie with Washington in the NL East. Both clubs were four back of the Phillies going into Monday’s action, only to fall five back.

--Dodgers’ slugger Andre Ethier sustained a fracture pinkie during batting practice Saturday and is listed as day-to-day. He’s expected to test the pinkie by taking swings in the batting cage this week before the team decides if it will place him on the disabled list. Ethier leads the NL in batting average (.392), homers (11) and RBIs (38).

--Washington closer Matt Caps (0-1, 0.93) has converted all 14 of his save opportunities this season.

--Florida slugger Hanley Ramirez and Washington power hitter Adam Dunn (flu) are both “questionable” in Tuesday’s games for their respective squads.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

papyagang pick of the day

20* Texas ML
20* Detroit ML
20* Florida ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker 49-38-2 (0-1)

Back Halmstad at 2.18 to beat Angelholm

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RW Sports (31-27-4) (2-0)

english league 1

millwall - huddersfield, millwall, 1 unit, 1.91 @ ladbrokes

millwall - huddersfield, over 2.25 goals (2, 2.5), 1 unit, 1.82 @ pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bet.Powa.Fr (25-26-1) (4-4)

EG1 Millwall - Huddersfield 1......30€......1.90

CZC Jablonec - Plzen 1 (0)......30€......1.65

U17 England - Czech Republic + 2.5......30€......1.85

U17 Portugal - Switzerland + 2.5......30€......1.90

U17 Greece - Turkey X......25€......3.40

HU1 Ferencvarosi Budapest - Lombard 1......30€......1.65

SWC Angelholms - Halmstad 2......20€......2.20

SWC Bunkeflo - Mjallby 2......30€......1.55

SWC Ljungskile - Djugardens - 2.5......30€......1.80

SWC FC Syrianska - Malmo FF 2......30€......1.75

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Lakers (-6-1/2) Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Magic. The deficit is 775 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo, starting to move in the right direction, hung on last night with the Rangers for a second straight win that cut his deficit to 355 cochranes.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will try to cash with a Zack at tack in Baltimore -- 10 units on the Royals.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
447 - 325 run 58 %

Bonus Play Tues San Jose Hockey

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, MAY 18

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

Boston (9-3 SU and ATS) at Orlando (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS)

The Celtics, coming off a Game 1 upset of the hottest team in the postseason, look to take complete control of this best-of-7 Eastern Conference finals series with a Game 2 victory over the Magic at Amway Arena. Fourth-seeded Boston led by as much as 20 points in Sunday’s series opener, then held off a fourth-quarter Orlando rally in a 92-88 victory as a 6½-point road underdog, halting the Magic’s perfect playoff march and a 14-game win streak (13-1 ATS) that dated to the regular season. Ray Allen paced the Celts with 25 points, and Paul Pierce had 22 points and nine rebounds. Boston outshot Orlando 44.6 percent to 41.6 percent, hitting 33 of 74 from the field while the Magic made 32 of 77. Dwight Howard had a double-double for No. 2 seed Orlando, but he was limited to just 13 points on 3-for-10 shooting and a 7-for-12 effort at the free-throw line, while collecting 12 rebounds. Vince Carter had 23 points, and Jameer Nelson added 20 points and nine assists in the losing effort. The Magic outrebounded Boston 45-38, including a 15-7 edge in offensive boards, but it wasn’t enough to dodge the upset for a team that had posted 10 double-digit routs during its 14-game winning streak. Orlando is 5-2 SU (4-3 ATS) in the last seven meetings in this rivalry, including 3-2 SU (2-3 ATS) this season, and the Magic also took out Boston in seven games in the second round of the 2009 playoffs. Going back to Game 7 of that series, the visitor and the underdog have covered in six straight in this rivalry, and Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last eight visits to Amway Arena. The SU winner has cashed in all 12 of the Celts’ playoff contests and in 22 straight games overall for Doc Rivers’ team, and the SU winner is 16-1 ATS in the Magic’s last 17 overall. Boston is 30-17 on the highway (54-21-1 ATS) this season (4-2 SU and ATS in the playoffs), with victories in its last three postseason roadies, as the Celts hammered top-seeded Cleveland in Games 2 and 5 in the second round. The C’s are averaging 98.4 ppg (47.8 percent shooting) away from Boston, while giving up 94.1 ppg (44.3 percent shooting). Orlando is now 38-8 at home (27-18-1 ATS), including 4-1 (3-2 ATS) in the playoffs, outscoring visitors by 12 ppg on the year (104.9-92.9), while shooting 48.3 percent and allowing 43.5 percent. Prior to Sunday’s setback, the Magic had won 11 straight (8-2-1 ATS) and 17 of their previous 18 (13-4-1 ATS) inside Amway Arena. Along with their 9-3 ATS mark in the postseason, the Celtics are on pointspread upswings of 4-0 overall, 13-4-1 as a playoff pup (4-0 last four), 17-7 when catching five to 10½ points, 5-0 after a day off and 5-1 against the Southeast Division. Still, Boston is 5-9 ATS in its last 14 outings following a SU win. The Magic remain on a plethora of positive ATS runs, including 23-8-1 overall (13-2 last 15), 7-2-1 at home (all as a chalk), 23-6-1 as a favorite, 7-1 as a playoff chalk and 12-4-1 against winning teams, along with lengthy ATS streaks of 66-32-2 after a SU loss and 65-32-3 after a non-cover. Also, in last year’s six-game upset of the Cavaliers in the conference finals, Orlando went 5-1 ATS.
Orlando sports a bundle of “under” streaks, including 6-2-1 overall (4-1 last five), 13-5-2 at home, 34-16-2 as a favorite, 8-2-1 as a playoff chalk, 38-12-1 after a non-cover, 26-9 after a SU loss and 36-14-1 after a day off. That said, in last year’s conference finals against Cleveland, the over hit in five of the six games. Boston is on “under” rolls of 8-2 in conference finals contests and 4-1 after a one-day break, but is otherwise on “over” stretches of 6-2 after either a SU or an ATS win and 7-3 on the road against teams with a winning home record. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in eight of the last nine clashes overall, including four of five this season. Also, the under is on a 10-3 tear between these two in Orlando, with Game 1 staying below the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO and UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Francisco (21-16) at San Diego (23-15)

For the third time this season and the second time in five days, the Padres’ Mat Latos (3-3, 3.32 ERA) squares off against Giants left-hander Jonathan Sanchez (3-3, 3.32) in the finale of a two-game series at Petco Park. San Diego continued its mastery of the Giants with a 3-1 victory on Monday. The Padres have won all seven meetings this year while giving up a total of nine runs, holding San Francisco to two runs or fewer in every game. With Monday’s win, the Padres snapped a three-game overall and four-game home losing skid, and since opening the season 3-6, they’re 20-9 overall. Additionally, Bud Black’s team has won seven of eight against lefty starters, six straight on Tuesday and 21 of 26 when playing the second game of a series. The Giants had their modest three-game winning streak halted last night. Bruce Bochy’s crew has won eight of 11 against right-handed starters, but it is otherwise in slumps of 0-5 against the N.L. West, 1-6 versus winning teams and 36-75 on the road against winning teams. Not only has San Diego won all six meetings with the Giants this year, but it is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings overall and 11-2 in the last 12 clashes in San Diego. Sanchez has dropped a pair of 1-0 decisions to Latos and the Padres this season, with the lefty giving up just the two runs on four hits and four walks with 15 strikeouts in 15 innings. On Wednesday in San Francisco, Sanchez matched a season best by going eight innings and scattering three hits and a walk. He’s now held four of his last six opponents to one run or less, and going back to last year he’s held eight of his last nine opponents to three runs or fewer.
Behind Sanchez, the Giants are in funks of 1-4 overall, 7-19 when he starts on the road, 3-8 on Tuesday, 4-14 when he pitches the second game of a series and 2-4 against San Diego. Including a no-hitter on July 10 at home, Sanchez has posted a 1.53 ERA in his last five starts against the Padres (six runs allowed in 35 1/3 innings), but for his career, he’s 2-4 despite a stellar 2.37 ERA in 15 appearances (eight starts) versus San Diego, including 1-3 with a 3.12 ERA in eight games (five starts) at Petco Park. Latos came within an eyelash of pitching a perfect game – and notching the Padres’ first no-hitter ever – in Wednesday’s 1-0 win in San Francisco. The young right-hander gave up just an infield single – on a ball that ticked off his glove – while whiffing six in recording the first complete game of his career. Over his last two starts – including a 7-0 win in Houston – Latos has given up just three hits and no walks in 17 innings, striking out 15. And in three starts this month, he’s 2-1 with a 0.78 ERA (two runs allowed in 23 innings), yielding just a pair of solo home runs in a 2-1 home loss to the Brewers. In outdueling Sanchez in a 1-0 home win back on April 20, Latos limited the Giants to four hits and one walk in seven innings. So in two career appearances against San Francisco, he’s surrendered a total of five hits and one walk in 16 scoreless innings. San Francisco had topped the total in four straight road games before Monday’s contest stayed below the total, and the Giants are on further “under” streaks of 4-1-2 overall, 10-1-1 against N.L. West rivals, 10-4-1 versus right-handed starters, 5-1 in Sanchez’s last six starts overall, 6-2-1 in his last nine road outings and 4-0 in his last four starts against the N.L. West. San Diego carries “under” trends of 39-18-4 overall (9-0-1 last 10), 4-0 at home, 36-16-2 versus division foes, 20-8 on Tuesday, 4-0 versus southpaw starters and 20-6-2 against teams with a winning record. Also, the under is 4-1 in Latos’ last five starts overall and 5-2 in his last seven home efforts. Finally, the under is 16-5-1 in the last 22 Padres-Giants clashes overall (8-0-1 last 11), 6-0 in the last six meetings at Petco and 5-0 in Sanchez’s last five starts against San Diego.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (19-20) at N.Y. Yankees (25-13)

Josh Beckett (1-1, 7.46) once again tries to snap out of his season-long funk when he matches up against Yankees ace CC Sabathia (4-2, 3.71) in a rematch of an Opening Night duel, with this one taking place at Yankee Stadium. New York scored a wild 11-9 victory in Monday’s opener of this brief two-game series, first blowing a 5-0 first-inning lead, then rallying for four runs in the bottom of the ninth inning. Facing Red Sox closer Jonathan Papelbon, the Yankees entered the ninth down 9-7 when Alex Rodriguez hit a one-out, two-run, game-tying home run, and three batters later Marcus Thames connected on a two-out, two-run, walk-off homer. The Yankees have now won 14 of the last 17 against Boston, including five of seven this year. On top of that, the Red Sox have now dropped eight straight games at Yankee Stadium. Overall, Boston has lost three in a row and four of its last five, and it has been miserable away from Fenway Park recently, going 1-6 in its last seven road games). Additionally, Terry Francona’s club is in slumps of 9-20 against A.L. East rivals, 6-19 versus opponents with a winning record and 2-6 on the road against lefty starters. On the bright side, the Sox have won 38 of 56 on Tuesday. New York is still just 4-5 in its last nine games, which comes after a six-game winning streak, but the defending champs are still 13-3 in the Bronx this season. Furthermore, the Yankees are on positive streaks of 101-44 overall, 51-12 at home, 45-15 versus division foes, 40-16 in the second game of a series, 65-25 against right-handed starters, 45-11 at home versus righties and 16-5 on Tuesday. Also, 35 of the Yankees’ 38 games this season – including all 25 of their victories – have been decided by multiple runs. Beckett (back injury) was scratched from last week’s scheduled start against Toronto and he hasn’t pitched since May 7, when the Yankees destroyed him for nine runs on nine hits in 5 1/3 innings en route to a 10-3 road win. Beckett has yielded five runs or more in four of his seven starts, and over the past four outings he’s been touched up for 26 runs (all earned) in 22 1/3 innings (10.48 ERA).
Beckett has actually been better on the road this year (1-0, 6.88 ERA in three games) than at home (0-1, 7.88 ERA in four starts). Also, he was tremendous in his only start at new Yankee Stadium last year, pitching seven shutout innings but failing to get a decision in Boston’s 2-0, 15-inning loss. Since then, Beckett has faced the Yankees three times – all at Fenway Park – and given up 22 runs (all earned) in 18 innings (11.00 ERA). So in 19 career regular-season starts against New York, he’s now 9-6 with a 5.96 ERA. Like Beckett, Sabathia is coming off his worst start of the season, Wednesday’s 6-0 loss in Detroit. The hefty lefty surrendered all six runs on nine hits in six innings. Prior to that, Sabathia had allowed 11 earned runs in his previous six starts covering 37 1/3 innings (2.65 ERA). That includes his only two home starts, with Sabathia going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA (two runs allowed in 14 innings). Also, despite the outing in Detroit, the Yankees are still 22-6 in Sabathia’s last 28 trips to the mound, 11-1 in his last 12 at home, 4-0 in his last four against the A.L. East and 5-1 in his last six on Tuesday. Sabathia pitched opposite Beckett on Opening Night in Boston and was staked to a 5-1 lead but couldn’t hold it, allowing five runs in 5 1/3 innings and getting a no-decision in his team’s 9-7 loss. Then on May 8, Sabathia was one strike away from finishing the fifth inning – and qualifying for a win – when a long rain delay ended his day. He ended up surrendering three runs on four hits in 4 2/3 innings, with the Yankees cruising to a 14-3 victory. Including two ugly playoff contests when he was with the Indians, Sabathia is 5-7 with a 4.45 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against the Sox. The under is 11-6-3 in Boston’s last 20 games on the road and 5-2 in Beckett’s last seven Tuesday contests. However, the Sox have topped the total in four of five against southpaw starters, 13 of Beckett’s last 18 starts overall and eight of Beckett’s last 10 against the A.L. East. New York is on “under” runs of 6-2 overall, 18-9-1 at home and 12-3-1 when Sabathia pitches at Yankee Stadium. Conversely, the over is 5-0 in the Yankees’ last four against A.L. East rivals, 4-1-1 in their last six on Tuesday and 5-1 when Sabathia pitches against divisional opponents. Lastly, the over has cashed in six of seven meetings between these teams this year, and five of Beckett’s last seven starts against New York have soared over the total. However, the under is 5-2 in the last seven head-to-head battles in the Bronx.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JR ODonnell | NBA Sides Tue, 05/18/10 - 8:30 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 505 BOS 7.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 506 ORL
Analysis:
BOSTON CELTICS + 7.5 ..GAME AT 8:30 Espn
3* WINNER EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS


We note that after the magic got blown away last game the Magic will be the public darling tonight in must win spot for the boys from Fla. We are all over the Boston C's who square up well with Orlando. The last game the magic were held to 21% 5-22 from behind the arc. The Celtics will hound and harass Dwight Howard again tonight and they can play him straight up and take away what the Magic offense does best. The Celtics should be 3 point dogs here according to ou~r JR O power ratings and the Celtics are 30-17 on the road and as we stated before , they are not afraid to roll into the Magic center . The Celtics are a smooth 57-28 a road pup and we will back the boys from bean town as a 3* top play winner

CELTICS BABY ....ROLL THEM

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Magic
Tigers(RL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA
Flyers -155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

Season
Straight Up: 860-372 (.698)
ATS: 658-611 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 1564-1472 (.515)
Over/Under: 631-646 (.494)
Over/Under Vary Units: 819-845 (.492)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 2, best-of-7 series
ORLANDO 100, Boston 91